Onweerskansen week 30
4@Kenny: hoezo twijfels voor België als je de bui in Bordeaux ziet? Dan moet het toch juist omgekeerd zijn of?.... Snap het niet goed..
EDIT Ok, zag net je post hieronder, maar de buien die voor ons zijn ontstaan morgen pas he, die bui is voor daar, de onze morgen voor hier (geloof ik toch he
t | Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:16 uur, door thunderstorms_4ever
Onweersdagen met hagel: 2 ---- Licht onweer: 7
Onweersdagen met rukwinden: 4 ---- Matig onweer: 1
Onweersdagen in totaal 2015: 9 ---- Zwaar onweer: 1
Onweersdagen met rukwinden: 4 ---- Matig onweer: 1
Onweersdagen in totaal 2015: 9 ---- Zwaar onweer: 1
Ik wacht maar af.
Vanavond een aardig wat snel groeiende "bloemkolen" gezien
Echter helaas vielen die uit elkaar als een zak soepgroente van een goedkope supermarkt.
Ik verwacht zaterdag of zondag wel wat te kunnen zien.
Morgen is nog te onzeker, geen zware buien in ieder geval.
De nacht van zaterdag op zondag, dat zou wel iets kunnen worden.
Vanavond een aardig wat snel groeiende "bloemkolen" gezien
Echter helaas vielen die uit elkaar als een zak soepgroente van een goedkope supermarkt.
Ik verwacht zaterdag of zondag wel wat te kunnen zien.
Morgen is nog te onzeker, geen zware buien in ieder geval.
De nacht van zaterdag op zondag, dat zou wel iets kunnen worden.
Ik rie un Zundapp
Citaat van kenny, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:14 uur Hebben wij hier in Belgie niks aan, tegen dat het hier komt heeft het bijna altijd weg van uitgebeend kadaver., zodus en dit zal nu wss wel stilletjes aan koers beginnen zetten richting Belgieuiteraard is dit niet het onweer van morgen , maar het is wel een startschot voor de vorming van meerdere cellen vannacht en morgen
Citaat van kenny, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:21 uur Bram, ik vrees dat we morgenvroeg reeds gaan ontwaken met grijze meuk. Geen instraling van de zon? Daarbij ik zou eerder men kansen wagen zaterdag , lijkt me meer potentie voor Belgie komen , de buien morgen iets te vroeg denk ikWil niks zeggen, beste onweer dat ik dit jaar al gezien heb was om 8u 's morgens
Citaat van kenny, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:21 uur Bram, ik vrees dat we morgenvroeg reeds gaan ontwaken met grijze meuk. Geen instraling van de zon? Daarbij ik zou eerder men kansen wagen zaterdag , lijkt me meer potentie voor Belgie komen , de buien morgen iets te vroeg denk ikje kan gelijk hebben kenny , maar ik schrijf de kansen voor morgen nog niet weg : wie weet enkele uitgestorven regenbuitjes uit frankrijk morgenvroeg , lekker veel vochtigheid in de lucht om 's avonds stevig te knallen. een ideaal scenario , ik weet het , maar met dit laffe wer weet je nooit
Nou, ik ben klaar voor morgen & het weekend. Al moet ik zeggen dat deze droge weken mij ook prima bevallen. Maar goed in Nederland kan het nooit eens normaal gaan natuurlijk. Als ik de beelden zie van de ravage in sommige delen van Nederland...man man. En natuurlijk in de Drechtsteden helemaal niets, geen druppel,geen flits, geen gerommel... Tja, dus zetten we maar weer in op morgen en het weekend...
Bij onweer mag je pas klagen, als het geen drie uur duurt, maar drie dagen...
estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/
(ik krijg het plaatje er niet bij sorry)
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:48 uur, door Nooms
http://www.estofex.org/
(ik krijg het plaatje er niet bij sorry)
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:48 uur, door Nooms
Citaat van Nooms, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:41 uur estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
Heerlijk weer net naast Gouda natuurlijk
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
Heerlijk weer net naast Gouda natuurlijk
Aantal onweersdagen 2020
Licht en lullig onweer : 2
Behoorlijk onweer: 1
Zwaar onweer: 1
Licht en lullig onweer : 2
Behoorlijk onweer: 1
Zwaar onweer: 1
Citaat van Nooms, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:41 uur estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:49 uur, door Ries
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:49 uur, door Ries
Onweersdagen met hagel: 2 ---- Licht onweer: 7
Onweersdagen met rukwinden: 4 ---- Matig onweer: 1
Onweersdagen in totaal 2015: 9 ---- Zwaar onweer: 1
Onweersdagen met rukwinden: 4 ---- Matig onweer: 1
Onweersdagen in totaal 2015: 9 ---- Zwaar onweer: 1
Citaat van thunderstorms_4ever, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:45 uur Citaat van Nooms, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:41 uur estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
De tekst is het mooiste
:
Extended Forecast
Valid: Sat 27 Jul 2013 06:00 to Sun 28 Jul 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 25 Jul 2013 21:33
Forecaster: GROENEMEIJER/PUCIK
... An outbreak of severe storms is expected across France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany...
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
A level 1 was issued across a larger part of France, the Benelux countries, northwest Germany as well as southeast England, parts of Denmark and north Spain for the same risks.
A level 1 was issued across the southern Alps, mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.
DISCUSSION...
Saturday, the synoptic situation will be dominated by a strongly amplified trough over the Eastern Atlantic and a ridge that stretches from the Mediterranean towards Central Europe. Between these features, a strong and gradually strengthening south-southwesterly mid- and upper level flow is simulated, with wind speeds between 20 and 35 m/s at 500 hPa level.
The mid-level winds will advect a plume of steep lapse rates off the Spanish Plateau into France, the Benelux Countries and Germany. A corridor of convergent low-level winds and high low-level moisture flanks the western and northern side of the area of steep lapse rates, stretching from southwest France across the southeast Benelux toward north Germany. A pronounced overlap of this low-level moisture and steep mid-level lapse rates should result in CAPE exceeding 1500 J/kg across a large area with pockets up to 3000 J/kg.
A shortwave trough forecast west of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday morning moves northeastward, reaching central Britain on Sunday morning. In response, a baroclinic wave is expected to develop with pressure falls over central France, and increasing warm air advection over north and west France.
It appears likely that scattered to widespread convection will be ongoing early on Saturday across NW France and the Benelux, probably producing outflow boundaries. New convective storms are simulated to develop along these boundaries during the afternoon, and during the evening in south-central France along the advancing cold front of the wave.
Strong deep-layer shear of 20 - 30 m/s suggests that some storms will become supercells, capable of producing produce large or very large hail.
A southwest to northeast oriented surface warm front is forecast to develop during the afternoon and evening by most NWP guidance, and stretches from north France across the Benelux into northwest Germany. Storm-relative helicity and low-level (0-1 km) wind shear are forecast to be around 200-300 m2/s2 and 10 m/s respectively. Together with relatively low cloud bases, this suggests that some threat of (possibly strong) tornadoes will exist during the late afternoon and evening along and north of the surface front.
Across south-central France, the inflow from the Mediterranean is quite helical too, so that tornadoes cannot be ruled out there either.
It appears likely that individual storms will cluster over time. Some may develop into north-northeastward moving bow echoes producing swaths of damaging winds. Along the cold front that progresses only slowly eastward, subsequent convective cells may train over the same areas, possibly leading to very high rain accumulations and an attendant flash flood risk.
... Alpine region, North Italy ...
Steep lapse rates with abundant low level moisture are expected to yield sizeable CAPE. Moderate vertical wind shear is forecast, decreasing towards east, so that the best storm organisation is expected especially over northeast Italy. Multicells or even brief supercells are forecast, with the threats of large hail and isolated downbursts. In the mountainous areas, slow storm motion might result in local excessive precipitation event.
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:52 uur, door Robert96
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
De tekst is het mooiste
:Extended Forecast
Valid: Sat 27 Jul 2013 06:00 to Sun 28 Jul 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 25 Jul 2013 21:33
Forecaster: GROENEMEIJER/PUCIK
... An outbreak of severe storms is expected across France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany...
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
A level 1 was issued across a larger part of France, the Benelux countries, northwest Germany as well as southeast England, parts of Denmark and north Spain for the same risks.
A level 1 was issued across the southern Alps, mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.
DISCUSSION...
Saturday, the synoptic situation will be dominated by a strongly amplified trough over the Eastern Atlantic and a ridge that stretches from the Mediterranean towards Central Europe. Between these features, a strong and gradually strengthening south-southwesterly mid- and upper level flow is simulated, with wind speeds between 20 and 35 m/s at 500 hPa level.
The mid-level winds will advect a plume of steep lapse rates off the Spanish Plateau into France, the Benelux Countries and Germany. A corridor of convergent low-level winds and high low-level moisture flanks the western and northern side of the area of steep lapse rates, stretching from southwest France across the southeast Benelux toward north Germany. A pronounced overlap of this low-level moisture and steep mid-level lapse rates should result in CAPE exceeding 1500 J/kg across a large area with pockets up to 3000 J/kg.
A shortwave trough forecast west of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday morning moves northeastward, reaching central Britain on Sunday morning. In response, a baroclinic wave is expected to develop with pressure falls over central France, and increasing warm air advection over north and west France.
It appears likely that scattered to widespread convection will be ongoing early on Saturday across NW France and the Benelux, probably producing outflow boundaries. New convective storms are simulated to develop along these boundaries during the afternoon, and during the evening in south-central France along the advancing cold front of the wave.
Strong deep-layer shear of 20 - 30 m/s suggests that some storms will become supercells, capable of producing produce large or very large hail.
A southwest to northeast oriented surface warm front is forecast to develop during the afternoon and evening by most NWP guidance, and stretches from north France across the Benelux into northwest Germany. Storm-relative helicity and low-level (0-1 km) wind shear are forecast to be around 200-300 m2/s2 and 10 m/s respectively. Together with relatively low cloud bases, this suggests that some threat of (possibly strong) tornadoes will exist during the late afternoon and evening along and north of the surface front.
Across south-central France, the inflow from the Mediterranean is quite helical too, so that tornadoes cannot be ruled out there either.
It appears likely that individual storms will cluster over time. Some may develop into north-northeastward moving bow echoes producing swaths of damaging winds. Along the cold front that progresses only slowly eastward, subsequent convective cells may train over the same areas, possibly leading to very high rain accumulations and an attendant flash flood risk.
... Alpine region, North Italy ...
Steep lapse rates with abundant low level moisture are expected to yield sizeable CAPE. Moderate vertical wind shear is forecast, decreasing towards east, so that the best storm organisation is expected especially over northeast Italy. Multicells or even brief supercells are forecast, with the threats of large hail and isolated downbursts. In the mountainous areas, slow storm motion might result in local excessive precipitation event.
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:52 uur, door Robert96
Citaat van thunderstorms_4ever, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:45 uur Citaat van Nooms, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:41 uur estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
tornado's??
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:58 uur, door Debbieke
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
A level 2 was issued across parts of France, the Benelux countries and northwestern Germany for severe winds and large or very large hail, excessive precipitation and tornadoes.
bron: estofex.org
tornado's??
| Gewijzigd: 25 juli 2013, 23:58 uur, door Debbieke
Citaat van Viktor Peters, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:44 uur Citaat van Nooms, donderdag 25 juli 2013, 23:41 uur estofex lvl 2 !
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
Heerlijk weer net naast Gouda natuurlijk
Betekent voor bodegraven dus misschien wel dd jackpot ???
http://www.estofex.org/http://www.estofex.org/
Heerlijk weer net naast Gouda natuurlijk
Betekent voor bodegraven dus misschien wel dd jackpot ???
Als je bang bent en je durft niet voor je te kijken en je wil niet achter je kijken, kijk dan naast je want daar sta ik...
