De cycloon zal naar verwachting gaan afzwakken en rond woensdagochtend Oman bereiken, waarschijnlijk nog wel met orkaankracht.
©vwkweb.nl
(Novum/AP) - Van het laaggelegen eiland Masirah voor de kust van Oman zijn zevenduizend mensen geëvacueerd. De cycloon Gonu, de krachtigste wervelstorm in het gebied in zestig jaar tijd, is op komst.
Dinsdagavond verplaatste de cycloon, met windsnelheden van bijna tweehonderd kilometer per uur, zich in noordwestelijke richting door de Indische Oceaan. De verwachting is dat Gonu langs de Omanitische oostkust zal trekken in de richting van Zuidoost-Iran. Mogelijk komt de cycloon woensdag laat in Iran aan land.
Het kan ook dat de storm zich in noordwestelijke richting blijft begeven, in de richting van de Verenigde Arabische Emiraten. Overal in het gebied bereidt men zich hoe dan ook voor op zwaar weer en hoge golven en uit voorzorg zal het werk op enkele olie-installaties worden stilgelegd. Olietankers zullen vrijwel zeker hinder ondervinden en de internationale luchthaven van Musqat in Oman is gesloten.
[Copyright 2007, Novum]
Omanis look at high waves splashing on the rocks as a cyclone approaches on Tuesday.
MUSCAT, Oman (AP) -- Oman evacuated tens of thousands of people Wednesday, suspended oil exports, and closed a major port as a weakening Cyclone Gonu roared toward the Strait of Hormuz -- the world's major transport artery for Persian Gulf oil.
Oil markets were little changed in midday trading, but had the potential to increase as the storm -- a rarity in the region -- headed toward Iran.
As of 11 a.m. ET, the storm was located about 70 miles northeast of Muscat, moving in a northwesterly direction, the U.S. military's Joint Typhoon Warning Center said.
The storm was packing maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph -- well below the wind speeds that were recorded as it approached the Arabian Peninsula.
Gonu was expected to make landfall on the Iranian coast just east of the Strait of Hormuz late Thursday, according to a tracking map posted on the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's Web site.
Hundreds of Iranians living near the Sea of Oman were evacuated, but Iranian officials said the storm was unlikely to threaten the country's oil platforms and installations in the Persian Gulf because they are located far from its path.
In Oman, authorities closed all operations at the port of Sohar and evacuated the 11,000 workers, port spokesman Dirk Jan De Vink said.
(Watch flooded streets, damaged buildings in Muscat Video)
Sohar's oil refinery and petrochemical plant remained running at very low levels, with authorities considering a total shutdown, he said.
An image from NASA's Aqua satellite shows Cyclone Gonu approaching Oman
Nasser bin Khamis al-Jashimi of the Ministry of Oil and Gas said rough seas prevented tankers from sailing from Omani ports, effectively halting the country's oil exports.
But production was continuing except in one small field, he said.
In the United Arab Emirates port of Fujairah, the world's third-largest shipping fuel center, all refueling and ship-to-ship supply operations had been stopped, delaying the movement of tankers, officials said.
A few ships were still sailing through the nearby Strait of Hormuz, the transport route for 40 percent of the world's oil, despite 4- to 6-foot swells and strong winds, according to Suresh Nair of the Gulf Agency Co. shipping firm.
Clouds of blowing sand blur the skyline of Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on Wednesday.
"About 17 to 21 million barrels a day of oil are coming out of the Persian Gulf. Even if only some of the tankers are delayed, that could reduce the supply of oil and increase prices," said Manouchehr Takin, an analyst at the Center for Global Energy Studies in London.
But Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Global Markets, said the storm shouldn't have a major impact on prices because while it may delay oil shipments, they will eventually get to their destinations. Oil prices rose 25 cents to $65.86 a barrel in midday trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange after initially falling.
Evacuations, floods, power outages
Rains had subsided slightly earlier Wednesday but had intensified again by midmorning, with almost zero visibility, and were expected to remain strong through mid-afternoon.
Shareefa bint Khalfan, Omani minister of social development, said more than 20,000 people were evacuated and housed in government-provided dwellings outfitted with medicines and necessary supplies.
Electricity went out in Muscat by noon Wednesday, as winds of 62 mph hit the capital. Oman television broadcast footage of streets and buildings flooded with water. Health ministry official Ali bin Gaafar bin Mohammed said rescue workers had difficulties reaching affected areas.
"Even helicopters cannot fly, so it is very difficult," he said. In the nearby town of Al-Amriyat, a flood-related mudslide closed a main road.
Flights in and out of Oman's Seeb International Airport were canceled Wednesday, according to an official. Sohar's oil refinery and petrochemical plant remained running at very low levels, with authorities considering a total shutdown, he said.
Thick clouds hang over Muscat, Oman, on Tuesday as Cyclone Gonu approaches
Nasser bin Khamis al-Jashimi of the Ministry of Oil and Gas said rough seas prevented tankers from sailing from Omani ports, effectively halting the country's oil exports.
But production was continuing except in one small field, he said.
In the United Arab Emirates port of Fujairah, the world's third-largest shipping fuel center, all refueling and ship-to-ship supply operations had been stopped, delaying the movement of tankers, officials said.
A few ships were still sailing through the nearby Strait of Hormuz, the transport route for 40 percent of the world's oil, despite 4- to 6-foot swells and strong winds, according to Suresh Nair of the Gulf Agency Co. shipping firm.
"About 17 to 21 million barrels a day of oil are coming out of the Persian Gulf. Even if only some of the tankers are delayed, that could reduce the supply of oil and increase prices," said Manouchehr Takin, an analyst at the Center for Global Energy Studies in London.
But Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Global Markets, said the storm shouldn't have a major impact on prices because while it may delay oil shipments, they will eventually get to their destinations. Oil prices rose 25 cents to $65.86 a barrel in midday trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange after initially falling.
Evacuations, floods, power outages
Rains had subsided slightly earlier Wednesday but had intensified again by midmorning, with almost zero visibility, and were expected to remain strong through mid-afternoon.
Shareefa bint Khalfan, Omani minister of social development, said more than 20,000 people were evacuated and housed in government-provided dwellings outfitted with medicines and necessary supplies.
Electricity went out in Muscat by noon Wednesday, as winds of 62 mph hit the capital. Oman television broadcast footage of streets and buildings flooded with water. Health ministry official Ali bin Gaafar bin Mohammed said rescue workers had difficulties reaching affected areas.
"Even helicopters cannot fly, so it is very difficult," he said. In the nearby town of Al-Amriyat, a flood-related mudslide closed a main road.
Flights in and out of Oman's Seeb International Airport were canceled Wednesday, according to an official. (Watch storm pound Oman's coast Video)
Police officials reported a body washed ashore in the eastern coastal city of Sur and there were reports of people trapped inside homes in low-lying areas around the capital.
Oman's eastern provinces were cut off, with heavy rains making the roads unusable and communication lines severed. "We have no communication with them, nothing," said a senior police officer, speaking on condition of anonymity as is customary for security and police officials in Oman.
Strongest storm on record?
Gonu, which means a bag made of palm leaves in the language of the Maldives, is expected to be the strongest cyclone to hit the Arabian Peninsula since recordkeeping started in 1945. A cyclone is the term used for hurricanes in the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific.
"Historical record in that part of the world doesn't go back that far because these types of storms are very, very unusual for this part of the world. It's likely that parts of Oman have never experienced storms like this," said Julian Heming, a meteorologist at The Met Office, a weather tracking agency within the British Ministry of Defense.
Copyright 2007 The Associated Press.
Prices were also buoyed by a U.S. government report showing the nation's refineries struggling to boost fuel production at the start of the peak demand summer vacation season, and disruptions in oil and gas exports from Oman after a cyclone in the Arabian Sea shut loading operations.
London Brent crude jumped 73 cents to $71.18 a barrel by 1630 GMT. U.S. crude was up 46 cents to $66.07 a barrel.
Turkish troops conducted a "limited operation" into northern Iraq in recent days in pursuit of Kurdish rebels, a military official said on Wednesday.
U.S. oil traders said they were concerned the incursion could escalate tension in the energy-rich region.
"The Turkey thing popped us up," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Alaron Trading in Chicago. "The concern is the Middle East could get out of hand."
The news came after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported oil refineries were running at the lowest rate for this time of the year in 15 years amid a series of operational breakdowns.
Strong imports of gasoline, however, led to an increase in commercial stockpiles of 3.5 million barrels -- well above an anticipated 1.4-million-barrel increase, but refineries were running at just shy of 90 percent capacity.
Investors were earlier focused on Cyclone Gonu, the strongest storm to reach Oman in 30 years, which disrupted the country's crude exports of 650,000 barrels per day (bpd) for a second straight day.
It weakened on Wednesday to the equivalent of a Category One hurricane from a maximum-force Category Five, en route to the Strait of Hormuz, a major Gulf oil export route, and towards southeastern Iran.
An Iranian oil official said crude shipments of 2.4 million bpd from OPEC's second biggest producer were not expected to be affected.
"We doubt the few days of export delays caused by the storm will, in the end, contribute much to the upside or create measurable disruptions to the system," said Edward Meir of Man Financial Energy Group.
Disruptions to Nigerian oil output and Iran's nuclear dispute with the West remain underlying issues affecting prices.
Some 722,000 bpd of Nigerian production, or about 26 percent of the country's capacity, remained shut in due to militant attacks and sabotage.
Copyright 2007 Reuters.
A car is nearly submerged on a flooded street in Muscat, Oman, on Thursday.
MUSCAT, Oman (AP) -- Semi-trucks were trapped in flooded highways here Thursday after Cyclone Gonu battered Oman's coast on its path toward the world's most important crude oil tanker route.
At least 15 storm-related deaths were reported in Oman and Iran.
But as the cyclone -- a rarity in the Middle East -- headed from Oman to the southeastern Iranian coast, it continued to lose steam, dropping off to tropical storm strength early Thursday, according to the U.S. military's Joint Typhoon Warning Center.
Waves pound the shore in Oman on Thursday.
The center predicted Gonu would make landfall on the southeastern Iranian coast late Thursday. But it was likely to spare Iran's offshore oil installations, which lie more than 120 miles to the west, the center and oil officials said.
At least 12 deaths in Oman were blamed on the storm, including members of police rescue squads, and others were reported missing, said Oman Royal Police spokesman Abdullah al-Harthi. He did not provide further details.
Across the Gulf of Oman, Iranian state television reported that a resident of the port city of Bandar Abbas was killed in a car accident Wednesday due to low visibility from the storm.
Two provincial government workers bringing emergency supplies to a flooded area also were killed when a river overflowed and flipped their truck in Jask, a town 155 miles southeast of Bandar Abbas, state TV's Web site said.
The storm caused little damage to Oman's relatively small oil fields. But raging seas prevented tankers from sailing from Omani ports, effectively shutting down the country's oil exports, said Nasser bin Khamis al-Jashimi of the Ministry of Oil and Gas.
Authorities also closed all operations at the port of Sohar and evacuated 11,000 workers, port spokesman Dirk Jan De Vink said.
To the north, the world's third-largest fuel shipping center, the port of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates, reopened Thursday after suspending all refueling and ship-to-ship supply operations during the storm.
"About 17 to 21 million barrels a day of oil are coming out of the Persian Gulf. Even if only some of the tankers are delayed, that could reduce the supply of oil and increase prices," said Manouchehr Takin, an analyst at the Center for Global Energy Studies in London.
But Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Global Markets, said the storm shouldn't have a major impact on prices because while it may delay oil shipments, they eventually will get to their destinations.
On Thursday, the storm sustained winds of 41 mph, less than half its strength of 95 mph just 24 hours earlier, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center said. It was centered about 98 miles north of Muscat and was projected to weaken over the next several hours as it moves through the Gulf of Oman toward Iran.
Even with the weaker wind speeds, Gonu -- which means a bag made of palm leaves in the language of the Maldives -- is believed to be the strongest cyclone here since record-keeping started in 1945.
Floodwaters become carwash
In the capital, Muscat, highways and yards were flooded, and downed trees and power lines were scattered in the high waters. Residents washed cars in the flooded streets, while others snapped pictures.
"The capital Muscat became a lake," the police spokesman al-Harthi told Oman TV.
In coastal city of Sohar west of Muscat, violent waves continued to crash on the shore as residents returned to their homes Thursday after being evacuated.
"We all went to the school last night, and I came back to look at the house. Twice the water came into my house, and maybe the tide will come in again," said fisherman Salem Hassan al-Mukblai, 40, as he and his two sons tried to tie a downed fruit tree to a fence surrounding their house.
Shareefa bint Khalfan, Omani minister of social development, said more than 20,000 people were evacuated Wednesday and housed in government-provided dwellings stocked with medicine and supplies. Oman's eastern provinces were cut off, with heavy rains making the roads unusable and communication lines severed.
'Never seen such a storm'
In Iran, authorities evacuated hundreds of people living in the port city of Chabahr on the coast of the Gulf of Oman, believed to be next in the cyclone's path.
But the heavy storm, which caused trees to fall and windows to smash, eased Thursday morning, subsiding into light rain and wind.
"Thanks to God, people are back in the bazaars and streets of the city," said Abbas Jafari, a 47-year-old taxi driver. "Yesterday was terrible. I had never seen such a storm in my life."
Iran's state broadcasting company said on its Web site that some small villages in Sistan and Baluchistan province, on the Gulf of Oman, were still encircled by floods and authorities used helicopters to drop emergency supplies to them.
The storm affected power and telephone lines elsewhere in the province, but caused no major damage, provincial governor Habibollah Dehmardeh told the official IRNA news agency.
As a precaution, the Bandar Abbas oil refinery, which supplies the local petroleum market, closed jetties that receive oil from tankers, the Web site of Iran's Oil Ministry reported. The refinery was working as usual Thursday, the report said.
Copyright 2007 The Associated Press
[img width=403 height=320]http://www.weer.nl/uploads/pics/20070608gonu.jpg[/img]
Gonu boven de Golf van Oman op donderdag 7 juni.
Tussen 10 en 15 graden noorderbreedte ontstond op 2 juni uit een aantal onweersbuien uiteindelijk orkaan Gonu. Na een wat aarzelende start trok het systeem vervolgens naar het noordoosten, precies richting Oman. Donderdag lag Gonu in de Straat van Oman en de verwachting was dat het systeem, dat zijn orkaankracht op dat moment al verloren had, in de avonduren ergens het zuiden van Iran zou binnentrekken.
n dit deel van de wereld zijn maar een paar weerstations waar constant waarnemingen worden verricht. Veel informatie is er dan ook niet bekend. Met behulp van vliegtuigen heeft men de gemiddelde windsnelheid op de Arabische Zee op 140 knopen (260 km/u) geschat met windstoten tot zo’n 170 knopen ( 315 km/u.). Met deze windsnelheden was Gonu enige tijd een categorie 5 orkaan, de hoogste klasse die bij de indeling van orkanen wordt gebruikt. Toen Gonu ten noorden van de Omaanse hoofdstad Maskate (Masqat) voorbij trok, kwamen er nog windstoten van 85 a 90 knopen (ruim 165 km/u) voor.
Vanmorgen lagen de restanten van Gonu in de vorm van zware buien boven het zuiden van Iran.
Donderdagmiddag waren er volgens de autoriteiten in Oman 12 slachtoffers, Iran melde 3 slachtoffers. In Maskate werden 18.000 mensen geëvacueerd en in Iran ging het zelfs om 40.000 mensen.
Sinds 1985 is het aantal orkanen in de Arabische Zee op één hand te tellen en slechts een paar tropische depressies of tropische stormen wist nog net het Arabisch Schiereiland te bereiken. Niet alleen de aanwezigheid van warm zeewater zorgt voor het ontstaan van orkanen, ook verschil in windsnelheid en windrichting is belangrijk. Terwijl op zowel de Atlantische als de Grote Oceaan met de hoogte veel vaker een verschil is waar te nemen in windkracht en windrichting (windschering, waardoor buien rond een bepaald punt gaan draaien), blijkt dit boven de Arabische Zee maar heel af en toe te gebeuren. Hierdoor komt, volgens de statistieken, slechts 1 orkaan per jaar tot ontwikkeling boven de Arabische zee.
[img width=446 height=320]http://www.weer.nl/typo3temp/pics/ad276f9f77.jpg[/img]
Neerslagmetingen op woensdag 6 juni. Op dat moment was Gonu nog op volle sterkte te vinden ten zuidoosten van Oman
Op jaarbasis valt er in het zuiden van Iran nog geen 100 millimeter regen. Aan de andere kant van de Golf van Oman valt in de berggebieden tussen 200 en 400 millimeter, maar omdat de zon vrijwel elke dag onafgebroken kan schijnen is de verdamping vele malen groter. Bovendien zijn deze klimaatgegevens gebaseerd op een periode van 30 jaar, vaak valt er tijdens de zomermaanden geen enkele druppel regen. De afgelopen dagen is op sommige plaatsen in één etmaal meer dan de gebruikelijke neerslagsom voor een geheel jaar gevallen.
Bron: Meteo Consult,
• Cyclone remnants flood dozens of tiny villages in Iran
• People living in trees, tents, school auditoriums
• Cyclone Gonu killed dozens in Oman
• Omani town of Muscat hit by torrents of mud, rain
A village in the Marez area in Iran is steeped in floodwaters on Friday.
Lees hier het hele artikel
©CNN
n het zuiden en zuidwesten van Iran zijn twaalf mensen omgekomen en negen anderen gewond geraakt bij de doortocht van de tropische orkaan Gonu.
Vooral de provincies Hormozgan en Sistan-Baluchistan zijn de voorbije twee dagen door de orkaan getroffen. In de stad Jask werd 70 procent van de huizen en een groot deel van de oogst beschadigd. In negen nabijgelegen dorpjes waren er overstromingen door de hevige regenval.
De orkaan heeft Iran intussen weer verlaten, maar de hulpdiensten moeten in de overstroomde provincies nog steeds uitrukken.
(belga/hln)
A McDonald's restaurant is submerged in water during Cyclone Gonu, in Qurum, Oman, June 6, 2007.
[img]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070607&t=2&i=924704&w=350[/img]
A park is flooded during Cyclone Gonu, in Qurum, Oman, June 6, 2007.
[img width=237 height=320]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070607&t=2&i=924705&w=350[/img]
Heavy rain falls during Cyclone Gonu, in the Wadi Kabir area of Oman, June 6, 2007.
[img width=240 height=320]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070607&t=2&i=924706&w=350[/img]
Cars are submerged in water during Cyclone Gonu, in Muscat, Oman, June 6, 2007
© You Witness News/Reuters.com
Damage to Qurum Beach Road following Cyclone Gonu in Muscat, Oman, June 7, 2007
[img]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070614&t=2&i=960628&w=350[/img]
The aftermath of Cyclone Gonu in Muscat, Oman, June 6, 2007
[img]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070614&t=2&i=960629&w=350[/img]
Floodwaters following Cyclone Gonu in Oman, June 6, 2007.
[img]http://www.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&d=20070614&t=2&i=960630&w=350[/img]
The aftermath of Cyclone Gonu in Muscat, Oman, June 6, 2007
©Reuters